Interest Rates Will Not Hit 5%

Update: As of June 29, 2022 – this post did not age well

Interest Rates are now at or above 5% (the 5 year fixed rate as a basis). This article was written in 2019 and our follow up was done in the same time frame. In a relatively short period of time (3 years) we have seen rates rise to these levels. Now, they didn’t continue to rise – as we saw they actually came down – to record low levels.

The argument can be made that these rates were necessary due to the COVID-19 pandemic, to provide liquidity to the economy. What is up for debate however, is that the rates were kept low for far too long, thus causing the platform for rising costs and inflation.

Many people took the Bank of Canada’s head – Tiff Macklem – at face value when he ensured Canadians that rates would remain low until at least 2023. Rates, of course started to increase sharply at the start of 2022.

  1. Inflation is definitely existent and we are seeing it and feeling it, first hand.
  2. The pain CAN be catastrophic, since many Canadians, during the height of the pandemic, reported that they would experience financial trouble should their payments increase by more than $250 dollars per month, for anything. Gas, groceries and mortgage payments have likely risen FAR past this $250 dollars per month threshold for the average household.
  3. The Mortgage rules, if you have net worth, they can be circumvented in the form of “exceptions”.

The housing market – it is being widely reported across the country’s two biggest markets, Vancouver and Toronto, has seen a reduction in activity as well as falling in prices.

We have not seen a huge influx of supply all of a sudden – and this is the major reason for the price increases according to many experts.

The narrative is starting to shift to low interest rates being a driver for demand and prices now, however experts are still saying that due to the lack of supply – and demand outweighing supply, a “crash” is not immanent.

Narratives seem to drive the masses, and they can shift pretty quickly, so it will be very interesting to see how things pan out the next few months.

The article in the link below is worth a read if you are concerned about interest rates. I personally agree with two of three points the author makes. #2….not so much, there definitely is some debate over this one.

In summary

  1. Inflation is virtually non-existent in today’s marketplace
  2. The pain would NOT be catastrophic (As explained in past posts)
  3. New Mortgage Rules are the ‘New Rates’ – (also explained in this post by a colleague)


Long Version

Click below for the full story

3 Reasons Canadian Mortgage Rates Will Never Hit 5%

CMHC Rule Changes

Traditionally – if the waters are rough, you do whatever you can to not rock the boat. CMHC today however has rocked the boat. The housing market has weakened over the last few months, due to the pandemic, but Canada’s largest default insurer is making it tougher for people to get a mortgage…

How to Get Financing during the COVID Pandemic

Most of you are going to be very angry at this post because it may seem like I am actually encouraging people to get out there and buy properties.As a matter of fact, anyone who calls me asking for financing options, the first question I ask them is: “Are you really going to be buying a property in the next 3 months?”

Variable Rate Update

During the start of the lockdown due to the COVID crisis, banks hiked their variable rates discounts to prime – 0%. At the time, we predicted that variable-rate discounts will improve significantly once again. Well, very slowly now, we are starting to see this happen.

Coronavirus related to your mortgage

Believe it or not, the coronavirus can have an impact on your mortgage and your interest rate in particular. Listen below to find out exactly how and why.

The Recent Bank of Canada Rate Increase- one broker’s thoughts

What about this recent Bank of Canada Interest Rate Increase? If your discount from Prime -which is now now 3.20%- is 0.50% or deeper – then the variable rate product remains a really great place to be. If your discount from Prime is 0.25% or less, then depending on which lender you are with you may consider…

Employment status Impacting Your Mortgage Qualification

If you are applying for a mortgage, the chances are that you are feeling confident about your current employment status and your ability to find a similar position if need be. Your employment is a key aspect of being approved for a mortgage…

The Truth about mortgage pre-approvals

Are we Pre-Approved? Not what you might think it means… Many clients think that having a mortgage pre approval puts them in a position to write offers on properties without inserting a ‘subject to receiving and approving financing’ clause in their contract.

April Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver News

Here is a Quick Summary of the April stats for Real Estate In Greater Vancouver.

2017 Vancouver Real Estate Market

For quite some time now there has been a very limited supply of properties on the market and most Realtors that I speak with on a regular basis are starting to have buyers lineup. With very few properties to show these buyers, we are beginning to see similar trends that we saw a year ago.

Two main Reasons Rates Will Not Hit 5%

High borrowing rates are a relic. Canadian regulators may soon force borrowers to qualify at interest rates two percentage points above the contract rate. With many posted mortgage rates now approaching and even surpassing 3.00% (depending on the term), this means borrowers will soon need to show they can afford payments based on rates…

If you would like more information or a free consultation contact Aleem below, and as a Certified Mortgage Specialist let me help you get the home of your dreams. Great Mortgages, Made Simple
Aleem Peermohamed - Mortgage Broker BC


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